June 11, 2025

Iceland

Country context (P3 lens)

Iceland is a high-income Nordic country with a small but structured P3 market. P3s are used to mobilize private capital, accelerate infrastructure delivery, and transfer operational risk, particularly in transport, energy, and social infrastructure. Given its small population and scale, projects are typically medium-scale and highly targeted, often with government-backed or EU/Nordic financing.

Verified sources: World Bank PPP Knowledge Lab, IMF, OECD, Nordic Investment Bank.


Economic and infrastructure conditions

  • Economy: Small and highly developed, with tourism, fisheries, energy, and services as key sectors; fiscal capacity supports selective P3 investment.

  • Infrastructure priorities:

    • Roads, bridges, tunnels, and urban transit

    • Ports and airport facilities

    • Electricity generation, primarily geothermal and hydropower

    • Water supply, sanitation, and municipal services

    • Hospitals, schools, and social infrastructure

  • Private sector: Small domestic investor base; P3 activity often involves regional Nordic or international investors.

Projects generally require predictable cash flows or government-supported availability payments to attract private participation.


Public Private Partnerships framework

Legal and institutional setup

  • Iceland has a nascent P3/concession legal framework, overseen by the Ministry of Finance and sector ministries.

  • Projects require feasibility studies, value-for-money assessments, and government approval, often with technical advisory support.

  • Typical P3 structures:

    • Concessions for roads, bridges, ports, and energy projects

    • Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) for transport and utilities

    • Service or management contracts for water, sanitation, and municipal services

Market characteristics

  • P3 activity is limited and selective, often tied to government-backed or donor-supported projects.

  • Financing structures include availability payments, revenue-sharing, or guarantees.

  • Investor participation is mostly regional Nordic or international, as domestic capacity is small.


Sector experience and opportunities

Transport

  • Road, tunnel, and bridge projects are the main P3 opportunities.

  • Ports and airports occasionally structured under concessions or BOT arrangements.

Energy

  • Geothermal and hydropower projects delivered under BOT or concession models.

  • Private participation mostly in operation and maintenance contracts.

Water and municipal services

  • Urban water supply, wastewater, and sanitation projects structured as service contracts or concessions.

Social infrastructure

  • Hospitals and schools delivered through P3s are rare; projects typically require government-backed availability payments.


Key P3 considerations

  • Fiscal risk management: Important due to small government budget; guarantees or structured availability payments often used.

  • Institutional capacity: Strong, but P3 experience is limited due to small scale of projects.

  • Market depth: Very small domestic investor base; regional and international investors dominate.

  • Project selection: Focus on revenue-generating or government-supported projects to ensure bankability.


Outlook

Iceland is a small, selective P3 market with potential in transport, energy, and water:

  • Focus sectors: roads, ports, renewable energy, water, and social infrastructure

  • Projects are generally medium-scale, government-backed, and structured for predictable returns

  • Multilateral or regional advisory support is useful for project preparation and financing